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In and outs of the political campaigns, focusing on Michigan and Lansing, Tim Skubick will report regularly throughout the primary and then general election campaigns.

Thursday, November 13, 2008

What Happened To The Kids?

    Turns out lots of college kids were all talk and no action when it came time to cough up a vote for Barack Obama.  It's an amazing let down.
     They attended free concerts.  They registered in huge numbers. They stuffed mailers and knocked on doors but when the election came and went, turns out most of those under 30 were no shows.
     The predicted record-breaking tour de force of young voters remains as illusive in this presidential election as in previous years.
     18% of the vote last Tuesday were those under 30.  In 2000 and 2004, 17% showed up.  Big deal.
      However, for those who did show up, they did deliver for Obama as he racked up an impressive 66%-31% win20over the old solider.
      That was the largest spread since 1972 when college kids, facing the prospects of sloshing into the jungles of Viet Nam, rallied for George McGovern who lost to Tricky Dick.
      While the pundits sift the data on why the younger generation found something else to do rather than vote, Obama demonstrated his strength with other groups as well.
      Women picked him over John McCain 56% to 43% while Obama spilt the male vote almost down the middle.
      And maybe you noticed that "change" was an issue in the race for the White House.  For voters who listed that as their top issue, Obama won a whopping 89% of those folks.
      And there were three places in Michigan that should have gone to McCain but didn't.  Are you ready for this: Oakland County, Kent County albeit by a razor thin margin and Macomb County where Reagan democrats apparently abandoned the GOP.
      Who'd thunk that?
      

2 Comments:

Blogger Drew said...

Based on the spread, it appears that young voters reflected the national trend: Republicans stayed home. Had they come out, the margin would have been closer but the new voters would have been more clearly reflected in the totals.

As to Oakland, Kent, and Macomb, I'd say the McCain campaign had a premonition, at least about Oakland and Macomb. Kent County is more moderate than we easterners like to think.

November 13, 2008 at 1:48 PM 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Oh, good, a way to get a comment to Tim, not necessarily for posting.

I invite you to take a look at this.

http://www.delayedjustice.com/?page_id=38

My guess is that Mr. Gromek is done; he just doesn't know it yet.

Cordially,

David B. Schock, Ph.D.
david.schock@delayedjustice.com

November 14, 2008 at 6:15 AM 

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