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In and outs of the political campaigns, focusing on Michigan and Lansing, Tim Skubick will report regularly throughout the primary and then general election campaigns.

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

The Tortiose and the Hare

The Rick Snyder for Governor bunch has taken umbrage to the steady
drip of stories about his supposed "problems" with the
ultra-conservative base of the state Republican Party.
What about Virg Bernero's problems within his own party? the Snyder
folks wonder out loud.
Yeah. What about it?
Currently, the Democratic nominee is winning only in Detroit and
Snyder takes the rest of the state. The last time a Democratic running
for governor won with Detroit only was way back in…
Well…. way back NEVER!
If the current trend holds up, and Bernero assures everyone it
will not, Bernero would be toast. You can't get into the governor's
seat if you rely on the Detroit vote. Take that to the bank.
Bernero does have his work cut out for him. He is only beating
Snyder in the labor vote by three lousy points. The Lansing Mayor will
need more than that.
Snyder cobbled together an interesting coalition of independent
and some cross-over democrats to beat the other four career politicians
in the GOP field. He did not garner most of those democrats as
previously reported as some actually voted for other Republicans in
that primary.
Bernero must broaden his appeal to include those independent
voters who right now are going 2:1 for Snyder.
"I'm use to being the underdog,' Bernero likes to gloat and if you
underestimate his tenacity and energy, you do so at your own risk.
The Snyder team is sitting fat and sassy and even though he has
some fence mending to do with those ultra conservatives, it does not
have the same deficit that Bernero faces as he tries to catch up to the
leader.
Bernero must be thinking "Tortoise and the Hare."

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